Aswath Damodaran
Aswath Damodaran
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Session 28 (Val Undergrad): Closing the sale!
In this final session for the class, I use your valuation/pricing of companies as a vehicle to review the class, from intrinsic valuation to pricing to real options.
Slides: pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/valUGclosespr24.pdf
Project valuations: www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/eqrec/sprUG2024.xlsx
Переглядів: 9 264

Відео

Session 26 (Val MBAs): The Grand Finale!
Переглядів 3,5 тис.Місяць тому
In this final session for the class, I use your valuation/pricing of companies as a vehicle to review the class, from intrinsic valuation to pricing to real options. Slides: pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/valclosespr24.pdf Project valuations: www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/eqrec/spr2024.xlsx
Session 26: The Fat Lady is Singing!
Переглядів 3,4 тис.Місяць тому
In this session, I used the results you got from the corporate financial analyses of your companies to review the class, starting with corporate governance, wending my way through hurdle rates and topping off with capital structure and dividend policy. Slides: pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/cfovhds/ProjSumm24New.pdf Corporate Finance Project numbers: pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/cfan...
Session 25 (Val MBAs): Acquisitions (Completed) and Value Enhancements!
Переглядів 3,9 тис.Місяць тому
In this class, we continued to make a case against acquisition practices, with transaction multiples, accretion and defensive deals all under fire, before looking at the narrow pathways to generating value from acquisitions (go small, buy private, focus on cost synergies). We then started our discussion of value enhancement, by drawing a contrast between price and value enhancement. With value ...
Session 27 (Val Undergrad): Acquisitions Completed and Value Enhancement
Переглядів 1,9 тис.Місяць тому
In this class, we continued to make a case against acquisition practices, with transaction multiples, accretion and defensive deals all under fire, before looking at the narrow pathways to generating value from acquisitions (go small, buy private, focus on cost synergies). We then started our discussion of value enhancement, by drawing a contrast between price and value enhancement. With value ...
Session 25: Valuation - The Last Frontier!
Переглядів 3,3 тис.Місяць тому
In thissession, we continued on the question of how best to value a company by first looking at the four key components of value - cash flows from existing investments, growth in the future, discount rates and the terminal value. With cash flows, we noted the contrast between cash flows to equity and cash flows to the firm, with the former being after debt payments and the latter before. With d...
Session 26 (Val Undergrad): Distressed Equity as an Option and Acquirers' Anonymous
Переглядів 1,7 тис.Місяць тому
We started this session by looking at the value of flexibility through the option pricing lens and concluding that the value of flexibility is greatest at capital constrained firms, with uncertain and lucrative investment opportunities. We then turned to looking at distressed equity as an option, focusing on money-losing companies with a lot of debt, and used that template to talk about why equ...
Session 24 (Val MBAs): Distressed Equity as an Option + Acquirers' Anonymous
Переглядів 2,8 тис.Місяць тому
We started this session by looking at the value of flexibility through the option pricing lens and concluding that the value of flexibility is greatest at capital constrained firms, with uncertain and lucrative investment opportunities. We then turned to looking at distressed equity as an option, focusing on money-losing companies with a lot of debt, and used that template to talk about why equ...
Session 24: Closure on Dividends and first steps on Valuation
Переглядів 2,4 тис.Місяць тому
In this class, we started by using the dividend assessment process of looking at FCFE/cash return and then gauging trust in management, using the companies that we have used as lab experiments in the class (Vale in 2013, Tata Motors in 2013) and peer group analysis. In the process, we looked at why it is so difficult to get out of a dysfunctional dividend policy, as control trumps sanity and wo...
Session 25 (Val Undergrad): Real Option Applications - Patents and Natural Resource Reserves
Переглядів 2,7 тис.Місяць тому
In this session, we moved on with an examination of option pricing models, and used real options to examine why the rights to non-viable technology can be valuable and why the values of natural resource companies are affected by both the level and variability of commodity prices . As a cautionary note, you are pushing option pricing models to breaking point when using them to value these option...
Session 23 (Val MBAs): Real Option Applications
Переглядів 1,9 тис.Місяць тому
In this session, we moved on with an examination of option pricing models, and used real options to examine why the rights to non-viable technology can be valuable and why the values of natural resource companies are affected by both the level and variability of commodity prices . As a cautionary note, you are pushing option pricing models to breaking point when using them to value these option...
Session 23: Good & Bad Reasons for paying dividends
Переглядів 3,5 тис.Місяць тому
In this session, we started by looking at some bad reasons for paying dividends and a couple of good ones, including having an investor base that likes dividends, one iffy reason (dividends as a signal) and one borderline reason (that you can rip of lenders). We then looked at three questions that need to be asked in assessing dividend policy, starting with how much a company can afford to retu...
Session 24 (Val Undergrad): Introduction to Real Options
Переглядів 2,6 тис.2 місяці тому
After we got the third quiz done, we moved on to looking at real options in corporate finance and valuation. We started by looking at the basic option pricing models, and the ingredients that make for real option applications - that there be an option at play (with an underling asset and contingent cash flows), that the option have significant economic value (and the importance of exclusivity) ...
Session 22 (Val MBAs): Introduction to options
Переглядів 1,8 тис.2 місяці тому
After we got the third quiz done, we moved on to looking at real options in corporate finance and valuation. We started by looking at the basic option pricing models, and the ingredients that make for real option applications - that there be an option at play (with an underling asset and contingent cash flows), that the option have significant economic value (and the importance of exclusivity) ...
Session 22: Dividends - First Steps (Quiz shortened)
Переглядів 3,8 тис.2 місяці тому
We started this class with the third and final quiz of the class, before moving on to the dividend principle. We started with an assessment of what dividends would look like if they were truly residual cash flows before looking how they have evolved in practice - they are sticky, they follow earnings and the shift towards buybacks in recent decades, and how that shift can be explained by the in...
Session 23 (Val Undergrad): Private Company & IPO Valuation
Переглядів 3,7 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 23 (Val Undergrad): Private Company & IPO Valuation
Session 21 (Val MBAs): Valuing Private Companies and IPOs
Переглядів 2,4 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 21 (Val MBAs): Valuing Private Companies and IPOs
Session 21: Debt Design
Переглядів 2,6 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 21: Debt Design
Session 22 (Val Undergrad): Asset-based and Private company valuation
Переглядів 3 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 22 (Val Undergrad): Asset-based and Private company valuation
Session 20 (Val MBAs): Asset Based Valuation & First Steps on Private Business Valuation
Переглядів 2,2 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 20 (Val MBAs): Asset Based Valuation & First Steps on Private Business Valuation
Session 20: Optimizing Debt Mix - APV and Peer Group Pressure
Переглядів 1,8 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 20: Optimizing Debt Mix - APV and Peer Group Pressure
Session 21 (Val Undergrad): Pricing - Peer Groups and Controlling for Differences
Переглядів 3,2 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 21 (Val Undergrad): Pricing - Peer Groups and Controlling for Differences
Session 19 (Val MBAs): More on Pricing - Applications
Переглядів 2,6 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 19 (Val MBAs): More on Pricing - Applications
Session 19: Optimizing Financing Mix (Continued)
Переглядів 2,6 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 19: Optimizing Financing Mix (Continued)
Session 20 (Val Undergrad): Pricing - Descriptional and Analytical Tests
Переглядів 3,4 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 20 (Val Undergrad): Pricing - Descriptional and Analytical Tests
Session 18 (Val MBAs): More on Pricing - Descriptional & Analytical Tests
Переглядів 2,1 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 18 (Val MBAs): More on Pricing - Descriptional & Analytical Tests
Session 18: Optimizing the Debt Mix
Переглядів 2,7 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 18: Optimizing the Debt Mix
Session 19 (Val Undergrad): Valuation Closure and Pricing 101
Переглядів 3,5 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 19 (Val Undergrad): Valuation Closure and Pricing 101
Session 17 (Val MBAs): Pricing 101
Переглядів 4,7 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 17 (Val MBAs): Pricing 101
Session 17: The Debt/Equity Trade off
Переглядів 4,6 тис.2 місяці тому
Session 17: The Debt/Equity Trade off

КОМЕНТАРІ

  • @KasperH345
    @KasperH345 33 хвилини тому

    But what if the reinvestment (Year 2 - Year 1)/Sales to capital ratio, dosen't match up the actual investment for a company. Is it a sign that I'm using too high revenue growth rates or am I missing something? But the revenue growth was 10% last year, with a minor reinvestment of 21,8 million euro and a 480 million growth in revenues. (CARGOTEC inc)

  • @ashyju5
    @ashyju5 5 годин тому

    AMAZING!

  • @user-dn1cr6nb1c
    @user-dn1cr6nb1c 16 годин тому

    This lecture is worth a ton. Thanks professor.

  • @riteishkr4
    @riteishkr4 17 годин тому

    I'm 24 year old professional poker player from small district Gumla,Jharkhand.have been playing poker from 3 years.As I'm semi retired from playing poker full time,I wanted to learn this amazing skill to value companies. have started this playlist(ug2024) a month ago,trying to do 1 session/day,currently on session 18. will reply to this comment once i will value a company from scratch. Also thankyou damodaran sir for putting so much work.

  • @parthmishra7303
    @parthmishra7303 18 годин тому

    at 15:14 Sir bought vale and when i am learning from him and backtesting his predictions they are shocking and hilarious to me as i am in favour of technical analysis, vale fell down 86% just after he bought it

  • @ganweijun3976
    @ganweijun3976 22 години тому

    A legend

  • @douglaswallace7680
    @douglaswallace7680 23 години тому

    {{Audio Glitch ends @ 0215 }} Studying to be a corporate CFO / CIO ? The video is fantastic ! Retail trader like me ? I really do not need to know how to re-build my transmission when my 4WD truck refuses to go into 3rd gear . That is why I pay my mechanic 60 cents a minute . Drive in . They fix . I pay . Drive away ! ABC stock beat its quarterly earnings estimates . Price jumps 12% . Sell and take the profit ? Hold for more upside ? Investment counselor will give me a YAY or NAY

  • @ganweijun3976
    @ganweijun3976 День тому

    Really really good content and excellent lecturer! I wish i studied in NYU under you :D

  • @narayangopinath-zg7qm
    @narayangopinath-zg7qm 2 дні тому

    Amazed with clarity in his speech, depth in research and making the complex topics flow like a waterfall.. Just wow.. Thanks Professor!

  • @aman.2912
    @aman.2912 2 дні тому

    Can someone tell me how this spreadsheet can be used for the indian markets?

  • @fizzlemynizzle7035
    @fizzlemynizzle7035 3 дні тому

    Question: The change in non-cash working capital has to be consolidated with signs reversed according to slide p.7. I wonder since it is being taken from the statement of cash flows: Hasn't that switch of signs already been incorporated? In other words, e.g. Microsofts inventories increase to 7,800 from 7,038 the year prior (see balance sheet). This positive increase of +741 is then already reversed to -737 in the statement of cashflows. Therefore I would think the negative effect on Cashflows has been accounted for and it is false to switch it around again. What are your thoughts? Thx 4 your lessons professor !

    • @fizzlemynizzle7035
      @fizzlemynizzle7035 3 дні тому

      Okay I think I found my mistake: If you just took the change in non-cash working capital from the statement of cash flows and consolidated it, it is already negative. Hence if you then subtract it from net income, it turns positive which is incorrect. -(-1,086) = +1,086

  • @aayushmanmusicproduction2407

    Thank you sir, this is pure gold! Very generous of you to post these here :)

  • @apexmemator7239
    @apexmemator7239 5 днів тому

    So what beta should we finally use in our models...? The one in "Unlevered beta corrected for cash" column or the one in the "average beta" in the last column?

  • @sebastiancruz8354
    @sebastiancruz8354 5 днів тому

    damodaran the goat

  • @youlechang
    @youlechang 5 днів тому

    Hi Prefessor Damodaran,thank you for sharing your information. Have you valued Palantir before? I am eager to know your story and numbers about Palantir.

  • @apexmemator7239
    @apexmemator7239 6 днів тому

    At 46:25 If Disney funded the entire acquisition by debt, then the new beta for Disney would have been ~1.5

  • @subh172
    @subh172 6 днів тому

    00:23 Valuing a company involves considering risk-free rates and equity risk premiums from different regions. 04:03 Risk-free rates should be selected based on the currency of the cash flows being estimated. 08:14 Historical risk premiums can be deceptive due to the standard error problem. 10:20 Understanding risk-free rates and historical risk premiums 14:19 Obtaining default spreads for countries without sovereign CDs or government bonds. 16:22 Sovereign CDs Market and default spread risk assessment 20:13 The inflation-protected T-bond rate can be used as the real risk-free rate. 21:56 Risk-free rates vary across currencies 25:42 Inflation drives interest rates and exchange rates. 27:27 Risk-free rates can change across currencies and time. 31:08 Venezuelan government's misrepresented bond rate and finding alternatives for risk-free rates. 32:53 Risk-free rates can be calculated using inflation differentials, even in cases where government bonds are not available. 36:25 Interest rates are influenced by expected inflation and real interest rates. 38:17 Focus on inflation and real growth to predict rates accurately. 41:58 Determining risk free rate and equity risk premium 43:39 Equity risk premiums are influenced by risk aversion, age, and historical trends. 47:11 Historical equity risk premiums are unreliable due to large standard errors and noise in stock returns. 49:05 Historical risk premiums are not reliable due to survivorship bias. 52:40 Estimating equity risk premiums for other countries using default spreads and US equity risk premium. 54:20 Understanding and adjusting for risk when calculating equity risk premiums 58:02 Using default spread to estimate equity risk premiums. 59:44 AAA rated countries have a 4.6% equity risk premium. 1:03:24 Equity risk premiums used in unusual ways 1:05:18 Frontier markets lack ratings, affecting equity risk premiums. 1:09:00 Consider the country risk premium when estimating equity risk. 1:10:41 Equity risk premiums should be weighted by the company's operations. 1:14:31 Global revenue breakdown is important for assessing equity risk premiums. 1:16:23 Equity risk premium is crucial for company valuation. Crafted by Merlin AI.

  • @maulik2500
    @maulik2500 7 днів тому

    👍🏻

  • @swagathvl6238
    @swagathvl6238 8 днів тому

    how to find divident and buyback for nifty 50 ?

  • @zeze9062
    @zeze9062 8 днів тому

    Class starts 2:10

  • @PradeepSingh-vo1xs
    @PradeepSingh-vo1xs 8 днів тому

    Professor, I am still having difficulty understanding the reasoning. If I am valuing a company that earns 75% of its income in India and I choose the dollar as the currency for the valuation, using the US market risk-free rate and ERP, is it reasonable to project the growth rate in terms of India's economic growth? Wouldn't this mean that I am scaling revenue in dollars using a growth rate based on the Indian economy, which seems incorrect? I feel like I'm missing something.

  • @lubsey
    @lubsey 9 днів тому

    ginsu knives analogy.... :Whatta bargain'...... Thank you professor

  • @nicolasrodrigo9
    @nicolasrodrigo9 9 днів тому

    CAPM... "gets beaten all the time but hangs in there" 🤣

  • @Financeforyou118
    @Financeforyou118 11 днів тому

    1:01:06

  • @rramach9091
    @rramach9091 11 днів тому

    Very clear explanation. Agree with everyone that Prof Damodaran is the best at what he does

  • @gixours
    @gixours 11 днів тому

    Big fan !

  • @edwardsmarquez
    @edwardsmarquez 12 днів тому

    Por favor me pueden indicar de donde se tomo el dato de los 85,6 mil de investigación y desarrollo? Gracias

  • @yonimaltsman5439
    @yonimaltsman5439 12 днів тому

    shouldn't you be looking at median rather than average returns? Because then you get bias from large moves

  • @abhishekjadhavar4277
    @abhishekjadhavar4277 13 днів тому

    @17:05 -> In order to get Unlevered beta of business, what was the tax rate taken? (From country of incorporation of vale or by geography ie where it gets most of its revenues?)

  • @Peter-rt3fl
    @Peter-rt3fl 13 днів тому

    Class starts at min 1:44

  • @abhishekjadhavar4277
    @abhishekjadhavar4277 13 днів тому

    @1:14:18 => In conventional approach formula, why (1-t) multiplies whole Debt ('D') as only the interest payments are tax deductible & not the principle amount right?

  • @VarunGandhi-wi8qg
    @VarunGandhi-wi8qg 13 днів тому

    Well well, NVIDIA is now trading at $1200+ …..definitely a bubble !

  • @VarunGandhi-wi8qg
    @VarunGandhi-wi8qg 13 днів тому

    Well well, NVIDIA is now trading at $1200+ …..definitely a bubble

  • @neeraj3179
    @neeraj3179 13 днів тому

    Not sure how the guy who valued Indigo calculated his debt/equity. Would love to know. Should'nt he be considering Lease Liability in debt which is around INR 49400 Cr.

  • @apexmemator7239
    @apexmemator7239 14 днів тому

    What time period and what tick data (daily/weekly/monthly) do you prefer when calculating raw betas in your datasets which have been uploaded online..?

  • @harshsharma2597
    @harshsharma2597 14 днів тому

    how is ev/sales different than p/e ratio?

  • @aseemgoyal101
    @aseemgoyal101 14 днів тому

    Top class content for free, many people charge 000s of $$ for a hyped but average and basic valuation courses...Hats off to you Aswath

  • @user-bl9ps1hq4q
    @user-bl9ps1hq4q 14 днів тому

    zero practical application ...all theory and very limited example usuage ...Overrated

  • @sandith
    @sandith 15 днів тому

    28:34 (ua-cam.com/video/niH52NaFbAs/v-deo.html ). Professor makes a small mistake in claiming that Greeks were advanced in Mathematics and that they thought of Least Square method first. The truth is that Greeks used a number system which as precursor to the Roman numeral. Indian place value system (called as Hindu/Hindu Arabic/Arabic numerals depending on proper referencing) reached Europe in 11th Century and widely adopted in 15th century. You can imagine what we can do in Roman numerals in terms of mathematical operation. Forget square root, multiplication and division is next to impossible. Even addition is a pain using this numerals with no concept of decimal and fractions in addition. Such stories of Greek superiority is merely Eurocentric version of historical fiction with no evidence or primary sources.

  • @micheltguarin4404
    @micheltguarin4404 15 днів тому

    Thank you Professor!

  • @cianryan4955
    @cianryan4955 16 днів тому

    what if NI is negative? Or dividend payout is greater than 100%. You will get a negative retention ratio or it will be greater than 1.

  • @yashrajpal1241
    @yashrajpal1241 17 днів тому

    i did not understood the part in which he keeps reinvestment rate 10% for stable growth period

  • @OhlordyOh
    @OhlordyOh 17 днів тому

    My god, thank you!

  • @Squash20
    @Squash20 17 днів тому

    Does warren Buffett compute all this?

  • @Dramittpatil
    @Dramittpatil 17 днів тому

    The best!

  • @manideli2662
    @manideli2662 18 днів тому

    You rock prof!🎉❤

  • @bibekmishra2098
    @bibekmishra2098 19 днів тому

    Please add the Nepal in the list too sir

  • @mitulkotadia5969
    @mitulkotadia5969 19 днів тому

    Awesome 🙌 Thank you professor ! It is helpful.

  • @adityakeshla1668
    @adityakeshla1668 19 днів тому

    🛐🛐🛐

  • @roy12386
    @roy12386 20 днів тому

    starts at 2:03